Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.007949 0.008917 0.009976 0.011226 0.012665 0.014274 0.016216
2025-04-20 0.006357 0.007644 0.009174 0.011143 0.013628 0.016689 0.020788
2025-04-27 0.005665 0.007136 0.008984 0.011508 0.014910 0.019403 0.025901
2025-05-04 0.005048 0.006590 0.008616 0.011516 0.015636 0.021401 0.030291
2025-05-11 0.004603 0.006197 0.008368 0.011607 0.016428 0.023528 0.035142
2025-05-18 0.004183 0.005778 0.008021 0.011487 0.016860 0.025138 0.039411
2025-05-25 0.003895 0.005511 0.007850 0.011587 0.017607 0.027295 0.044882
2025-06-01 0.003599 0.005199 0.007575 0.011484 0.018001 0.028908 0.049664
2025-06-08 0.003276 0.004815 0.007153 0.011095 0.017862 0.029583 0.052832
2025-06-15 0.003089 0.004624 0.007007 0.011133 0.018442 0.031569 0.058807
2025-06-22 0.002999 0.004575 0.007081 0.011541 0.019706 0.034963 0.068210
2025-06-29 0.002791 0.004319 0.006794 0.011292 0.019743 0.036025 0.072913
2025-07-06 0.002583 0.004057 0.006488 0.011007 0.019729 0.037088 0.078089
2025-07-13 0.002432 0.003881 0.006318 0.010955 0.020170 0.039169 0.086148
2025-07-20 0.002362 0.003835 0.006366 0.011312 0.021463 0.043249 0.100030
2025-07-27 0.002246 0.003698 0.006240 0.011319 0.022036 0.045839 0.110786
2025-08-03 0.002151 0.003592 0.006162 0.011409 0.022791 0.048967 0.123831
2025-08-10 0.002037 0.003443 0.005990 0.011291 0.023073 0.051014 0.134362
2025-08-17 0.001959 0.003356 0.005927 0.011389 0.023853 0.054419 0.149948
2025-08-24 0.001864 0.003229 0.005777 0.011289 0.024157 0.056665 0.162582
2025-08-31 0.001744 0.003047 0.005508 0.010907 0.023743 0.056946 0.168829
2025-09-07 0.001679 0.002967 0.005434 0.010945 0.024359 0.060143 0.186176
2025-09-14 0.001657 0.002966 0.005518 0.011344 0.025934 0.066344 0.216690